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2023-10-28

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 40.3% 59.7% -
Bradley-Terry 35.9% 64.1% -
Margin 35.3% 64.7% +3.3 (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 58.7% 41.3% -
Efficiency 75.8% 24.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.6% 27.4% -
Log Adjusted 72.7% 27.3% -
Points Off/Def 62.4% 37.6% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -7 (107-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 40 12-20 7-9 3-3 6 7 0 1 34 - -
Tobias Harris * 35 4-10 1-4 6-7 2 2 2 2 15 - -
Joel Embiid * 35 14-21 1-3 5-6 9 8 1 2 34 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 31 1-7 0-4 0-0 5 4 1 1 2 - -
P.J. Tucker * 21 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 29 7-17 0-6 4-5 5 2 3 0 18 - -
Patrick Beverley 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 - -
Paul Reed 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 4 - -
Danuel House Jr. 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Danny Green 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 36 3-8 2-5 3-4 7 4 0 1 11 - -
Scottie Barnes * 36 11-16 2-5 0-0 8 5 0 2 24 - -
Dennis Schroder * 35 5-14 4-6 1-2 4 10 2 0 15 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 33 6-16 3-5 2-4 2 0 1 0 17 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 24 2-5 0-0 2-3 7 3 0 1 6 - -
Gradey Dick 28 5-8 4-6 2-2 2 1 0 0 16 - -
Precious Achiuwa 18 3-10 0-1 0-0 7 3 0 1 6 - -
Malachi Flynn 12 2-4 2-2 1-1 0 2 1 0 7 - -
Chris Boucher 11 1-6 0-2 3-3 4 0 1 0 5 - -
Jalen McDaniels 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter