Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.2% | 81.8% | +8.3 | ✗ (20.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -12 (113-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Brown * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 32 | 7-16 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 29 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 17 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 30 | 10-16 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 18 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 18 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caris LeVert * | 44 | 12-28 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 41 | 7-20 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade * | 36 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 33 | 12-22 | 1-1 | 8-10 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 33 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 18 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Emoni Bates | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Craig Porter | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter