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2023-10-28

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 49.6% 50.4% -
Bradley-Terry 71.7% 28.3% -
Margin 88.8% 11.2% -11.4 (18.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% -
Efficiency 53.9% 46.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.5% 46.5% -
Log Adjusted 53.5% 46.5% -
Points Off/Def 49.1% 50.9% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +7 (113-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ziaire Williams * 33 6-14 4-12 0-0 10 1 0 0 16 - -
Desmond Bane * 33 10-20 4-10 2-2 2 5 1 1 26 - -
Marcus Smart * 32 4-8 1-5 0-0 4 6 2 2 9 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 31 4-12 2-4 6-6 5 2 1 1 16 - -
Xavier Tillman * 23 3-7 2-2 0-0 7 3 0 0 8 - -
David Roddy 23 5-8 3-4 1-1 6 2 0 1 14 - -
John Konchar 21 2-4 1-3 0-0 9 1 2 2 5 - -
Derrick Rose 18 3-8 1-2 0-0 1 5 1 1 7 - -
Jake LaRavia 15 2-9 1-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Kenneth Lofton Jr. 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 35 9-23 1-10 2-3 13 2 1 0 21 - -
Jordan Poole * 35 8-23 4-12 7-9 4 2 1 1 27 - -
Daniel Gafford * 28 3-4 0-0 4-6 11 0 0 2 10 - -
Deni Avdija * 27 4-8 2-3 0-0 6 2 2 0 10 - -
Tyus Jones * 27 5-12 4-8 0-0 2 7 2 0 14 - -
Corey Kispert 31 8-14 5-10 1-1 3 1 0 0 22 - -
Delon Wright 20 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 7 2 1 2 - -
Bilal Coulibaly 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Mike Muscala 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Danilo Gallinari 7 2-3 0-1 1-1 0 1 1 0 5 - -

* = starter