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2023-10-28

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 21.8% 78.2% -
Bradley-Terry 33.0% 67.0% -
Margin 21.3% 78.7% +7.2 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% -
Efficiency 71.9% 28.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.7% 32.3% -
Log Adjusted 67.7% 32.3% -
Points Off/Def 58.5% 41.5% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +16 (118-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 37 19-33 7-13 6-8 4 0 1 0 51 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 32 5-11 1-2 1-1 4 1 0 0 12 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 31 7-13 0-1 6-7 2 4 1 2 20 - -
Coby White * 27 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Patrick Williams * 21 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 - -
Torrey Craig 22 2-7 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 4 - -
Alex Caruso 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 4 4 1 2 - -
Andre Drummond 14 1-6 0-0 0-0 5 2 3 1 2 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 14 2-7 1-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 5 - -
Jevon Carter 12 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Terry Taylor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Julian Phillips 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalen Terry 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 39 9-19 1-4 6-7 4 10 0 0 25 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 33 6-14 0-3 2-3 9 0 0 0 14 - -
Jalen Duren * 33 9-11 0-0 5-5 15 5 1 2 23 - -
Ausar Thompson * 31 3-7 0-2 3-4 12 5 1 1 9 - -
Killian Hayes * 22 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 4 1 0 6 - -
Alec Burks 25 6-12 6-10 0-1 2 0 0 1 18 - -
Jaden Ivey 21 3-6 1-2 0-0 0 3 1 0 7 - -
Marvin Bagley III 14 5-8 1-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 11 - -
Joe Harris 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Marcus Sasser 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Stanley Umude 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter