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2023-10-28

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 68.9% 31.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 59.0% 41.0% - โœ“
Margin 69.5% 30.5% -4.5 โœ“ (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 46.8% 53.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 46.8% 53.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 43.0% 57.0% - โœ—

Actual: Sacramento Kings -8 (114-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 34 14-19 7-10 6-6 4 4 2 0 41 - -
Chris Paul * 33 5-12 0-2 0-0 2 12 3 0 10 - -
Klay Thompson * 32 7-12 2-4 2-2 3 4 1 0 18 - -
Kevon Looney * 28 4-6 0-0 0-0 12 6 3 1 8 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 26 5-13 0-3 1-2 5 3 0 2 11 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 25 5-11 1-3 1-2 5 0 0 0 12 - -
Moses Moody 21 4-5 2-3 0-0 3 1 3 0 10 - -
Gary Payton II 18 2-4 1-3 2-2 0 1 1 0 7 - -
Dario Saric 14 2-5 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 5 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keegan Murray * 39 6-16 3-11 1-2 7 1 2 1 16 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 39 14-28 5-9 6-7 4 4 2 0 39 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 35 7-15 0-2 5-6 18 7 3 0 19 - -
Harrison Barnes * 30 4-5 1-2 1-4 4 1 1 0 10 - -
Kevin Huerter * 15 0-5 0-5 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 - -
Chris Duarte 26 1-7 0-4 2-3 1 3 1 0 4 - -
Malik Monk 17 2-4 1-2 4-4 0 6 0 1 9 - -
JaVale McGee 12 3-6 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 0 7 - -
Sasha Vezenkov 12 4-6 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 10 - -
Davion Mitchell 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Colby Jones 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter