Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.5% | 30.5% | -4.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -8 (114-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 34 | 14-19 | 7-10 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 41 | 32 | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 32 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 24 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 26 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 25 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 21 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Dario Saric | 14 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray * | 39 | 6-16 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 39 | 14-28 | 5-9 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 39 | 21 | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 35 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 32 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 30 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 15 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 26 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Sasha Vezenkov | 12 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Colby Jones | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter