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2023-10-28

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 18.5% 81.5% -
Bradley-Terry 26.8% 73.2% -
Margin 21.3% 78.7% +7.2 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 40.4% 59.6% -
Efficiency 28.4% 71.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.3% 73.7% -
Log Adjusted 26.3% 73.7% -
Points Off/Def 29.5% 70.5% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +5 (125-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Spencer Dinwiddie * 39 8-17 6-12 1-2 3 8 0 0 23 - -
Mikal Bridges * 35 6-17 3-7 3-3 4 3 0 0 18 - -
Cam Thomas * 33 12-19 1-4 5-5 7 2 1 1 30 - -
Ben Simmons * 32 5-8 0-0 0-0 10 8 2 2 10 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 32 4-8 4-7 0-0 7 3 0 0 12 - -
Royce O'Neale 34 4-9 3-7 0-0 10 3 1 0 11 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 21 5-9 4-6 0-0 1 2 0 1 14 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Day'Ron Sharpe 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka Doncic * 36 16-25 9-14 8-10 10 7 0 0 49 - -
Kyrie Irving * 33 6-17 1-4 4-4 7 6 0 0 17 - -
Grant Williams * 29 2-6 1-4 0-0 6 0 0 0 5 - -
Dereck Lively II * 16 4-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 9 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 14 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 30 6-17 3-7 4-4 4 1 0 0 19 - -
Josh Green 27 2-7 0-3 3-6 3 2 3 0 7 - -
Maxi Kleber 25 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 - -
Dwight Powell 12 4-4 1-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 11 - -
Seth Curry 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Dante Exum 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 - -

* = starter