Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.4% | 36.6% | -3.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +4 (126-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 44 | 10-20 | 2-10 | 2-3 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 40 | 11-18 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 39 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 37 | 10-20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 37 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 39 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 8-11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 38 | 4-12 | 0-7 | 1-3 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 35 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 30 | 7-19 | 0-6 | 7-8 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 32 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 23 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 16 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 14 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter