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2023-10-28

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 45.0% 55.0% -
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% -
Margin 39.9% 60.1% +2.3 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% -
Efficiency 31.6% 68.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.8% 66.2% -
Log Adjusted 33.7% 66.3% -
Points Off/Def 34.2% 65.8% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +1 (104-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 41 7-15 1-5 3-5 8 2 0 0 18 - -
Scottie Barnes * 38 9-14 1-2 3-4 10 10 0 2 22 - -
Dennis Schroder * 35 3-11 2-5 2-3 2 10 0 0 10 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 27 5-8 1-4 0-1 3 0 2 0 11 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 18 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 8 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 36 6-15 3-10 1-4 5 1 2 0 16 - -
Precious Achiuwa 22 2-5 1-3 3-3 9 1 0 0 8 - -
Jalen McDaniels 17 0-4 0-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 - -
Chris Boucher 16 3-4 0-0 4-5 6 0 0 0 10 - -
Gradey Dick 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Malachi Flynn 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 41 11-22 1-3 10-14 4 3 4 1 33 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 40 4-15 1-5 2-3 12 1 0 1 11 - -
Coby White * 40 5-15 2-9 5-5 6 8 1 0 17 - -
Zach LaVine * 38 3-14 0-6 2-2 5 1 0 1 8 - -
Patrick Williams * 13 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 3 - -
Alex Caruso 31 5-9 2-5 1-2 13 2 2 1 13 - -
Torrey Craig 23 3-7 1-4 0-0 5 0 1 1 7 - -
Jevon Carter 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Andre Drummond 12 3-6 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 10 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter