Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.1% | 33.9% | -3.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -3 (105-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luguentz Dort * | 38 | 9-13 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 15-26 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 35 | 4-14 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 30 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 22 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 18 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vasilije Micic | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 42 | 15-27 | 4-11 | 9-11 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 43 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 37 | 3-14 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade * | 26 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 31 | 7-16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 20 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter