Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✗ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -4 (104-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 34 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 33 | 7-17 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 21 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Tillman * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 31 | 4-17 | 1-10 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 30 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 28 | 9-12 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 30 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose | 21 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter