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2023-10-27

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 70.5% 29.5% -
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% -
Margin 41.7% 58.3% +1.8 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% -
Efficiency 54.8% 45.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.5% 47.5% -
Log Adjusted 52.5% 47.5% -
Points Off/Def 47.0% 53.0% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +5 (100-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 39 14-28 1-5 10-13 11 2 1 1 39 - -
Grayson Allen * 34 2-6 2-4 0-0 6 4 0 0 6 - -
Josh Okogie * 32 3-5 2-4 2-2 8 3 0 1 10 - -
Eric Gordon * 30 6-16 2-8 1-1 2 0 0 0 15 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 28 1-5 0-2 2-2 9 3 3 0 4 - -
Jordan Goodwin 29 6-15 1-5 1-3 6 2 2 0 14 - -
Drew Eubanks 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -
Yuta Watanabe 14 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Nassir Little 13 0-2 0-2 2-2 2 0 1 1 2 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 39 10-17 1-2 9-10 12 2 3 3 30 - -
LeBron James * 35 7-14 1-5 6-8 8 9 2 2 21 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 33 6-16 1-7 1-1 4 5 2 1 14 - -
Austin Reaves * 27 4-7 1-2 1-2 2 1 1 0 10 - -
Taurean Prince * 18 0-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Gabe Vincent 35 3-10 0-5 1-2 3 6 3 0 7 - -
Christian Wood 21 2-7 0-2 3-4 10 1 0 0 7 - -
Rui Hachimura 12 2-3 1-2 2-2 0 0 1 1 7 - -
Cam Reddish 11 2-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Jaxson Hayes 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter