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2023-10-26

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 50.8% 49.2% -
Bradley-Terry 29.5% 70.5% -
Margin 26.7% 73.3% +5.6 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 49.4% 50.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.5% 51.5% -
Log Adjusted 48.6% 51.4% -
Points Off/Def 44.1% 55.9% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +1 (118-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 40 10-22 3-8 8-10 4 8 2 0 31 - -
Tobias Harris * 37 8-9 3-3 1-2 7 2 0 0 20 - -
Joel Embiid * 36 9-21 3-7 3-8 7 6 0 1 24 - -
P.J. Tucker * 25 0-2 0-2 0-0 7 0 2 0 0 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 24 3-10 2-6 2-2 2 4 2 0 10 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 32 9-11 5-6 4-4 4 0 1 0 27 - -
Danny Green 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Patrick Beverley 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Paul Reed 11 1-2 0-1 1-2 4 2 0 1 3 - -
Jaden Springer 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 37 9-20 4-12 17-17 8 4 0 0 39 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 35 10-22 0-3 3-9 13 3 2 2 23 - -
Malik Beasley * 31 2-4 1-1 0-0 4 3 2 0 5 - -
Brook Lopez * 28 5-7 3-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 13 - -
Khris Middleton * 16 2-5 1-3 1-2 3 4 2 0 6 - -
Jae Crowder 26 3-4 1-1 2-2 4 2 2 0 9 - -
Pat Connaughton 20 2-6 1-4 2-2 2 2 0 1 7 - -
Bobby Portis 19 5-8 0-0 0-4 6 2 0 1 10 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 16 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Cameron Payne 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter