Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -7 (119-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 36 | 10-24 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 35 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 34 | 13-25 | 3-11 | 4-7 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 23 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II | 30 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 29 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 27 | 5-14 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 35 | 9-17 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 31 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 28 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 23 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 25 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 22 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 17 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter