Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 10.5% | 89.5% | +11.8 | ✗ (18.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -7 (104-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herbert Jones * | 38 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 37 | 8-16 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 35 | 7-18 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 31 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 29 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Matt Ryan | 13 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 36 | 11-22 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 35 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman * | 33 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 32 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 27 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose | 15 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 14 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter