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2023-10-26

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 64.1% 35.9% -
Bradley-Terry 75.3% 24.7% -
Margin 89.4% 10.6% -11.7 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 56.4% 43.6% -
Efficiency 75.7% 24.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.6% 25.4% -
Log Adjusted 74.6% 25.4% -
Points Off/Def 63.7% 36.3% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -20 (104-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 36 12-18 2-5 5-5 5 10 1 2 31 - -
Luguentz Dort * 32 3-8 2-5 0-0 7 2 2 1 8 - -
Jalen Williams * 31 5-11 2-6 4-4 3 5 1 0 16 - -
Josh Giddey * 31 7-14 2-3 0-0 6 6 0 0 16 - -
Chet Holmgren * 25 4-7 2-3 1-3 4 3 1 0 11 - -
Isaiah Joe 21 4-8 3-6 3-4 5 2 1 0 14 - -
Cason Wallace 19 5-5 3-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 13 - -
Ousmane Dieng 14 3-5 3-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 9 - -
Aaron Wiggins 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Olivier Sarr 10 1-1 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Lindy Waters III 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Aleksej Pokusevski 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Tre Mann 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 32 9-20 1-3 1-3 5 2 1 1 20 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 31 5-8 0-2 1-1 9 4 3 2 11 - -
Patrick Williams * 30 4-10 0-4 0-0 3 4 2 0 8 - -
Coby White * 30 4-14 2-7 5-6 4 4 0 0 15 - -
Zach LaVine * 24 4-16 2-9 6-6 4 3 0 0 16 - -
Torrey Craig 21 4-6 3-4 0-0 7 1 0 0 11 - -
Alex Caruso 19 2-5 1-4 1-2 2 3 2 0 6 - -
Jevon Carter 15 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Andre Drummond 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 6 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 9 3-5 2-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 8 - -
Julian Phillips 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalen Terry 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter