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2023-10-25

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 54.5% 45.5% -
Bradley-Terry 60.0% 40.0% -
Margin 73.0% 27.0% -5.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 61.8% 38.2% -
Efficiency 83.0% 17.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.0% 18.0% -
Log Adjusted 82.1% 17.9% -
Points Off/Def 70.6% 29.4% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +3 (97-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 38 8-27 4-7 6-6 14 1 0 0 26 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 35 8-25 2-10 1-1 10 3 0 4 19 - -
Rudy Gobert * 32 6-12 0-0 3-5 13 1 2 4 15 - -
Mike Conley * 30 4-9 1-4 2-2 4 3 1 1 11 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 22 1-5 0-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 - -
Kyle Anderson 30 3-9 0-1 1-2 9 5 2 0 7 - -
Naz Reid 23 3-8 0-2 4-4 4 1 0 0 10 - -
Shake Milton 21 1-5 1-4 1-2 3 4 2 0 4 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 37 6-16 1-4 4-6 8 5 2 5 17 - -
Pascal Siakam * 34 5-17 3-5 2-2 7 6 1 0 15 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 33 7-13 4-9 2-2 6 1 2 3 20 - -
Dennis Schroder * 32 8-17 4-8 2-2 3 7 0 0 22 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 23 3-3 0-0 1-4 11 1 1 1 7 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 26 2-8 1-4 0-0 2 2 1 1 5 - -
Precious Achiuwa 24 4-9 0-1 0-0 8 0 0 0 8 - -
Jalen McDaniels 16 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 1 0 - -
Malachi Flynn 9 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 - -
Gradey Dick 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter