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2023-10-25

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 40.2% 59.8% -
Bradley-Terry 54.9% 45.1% -
Margin 63.5% 36.5% -3.0 (33.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% -
Efficiency 41.0% 59.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.5% 56.5% -
Log Adjusted 43.5% 56.5% -
Points Off/Def 41.2% 58.8% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +30 (116-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 33 5-13 4-6 0-0 1 5 1 0 14 - -
Jalen Green * 29 2-10 0-1 6-7 1 0 1 1 10 - -
Alperen Sengun * 28 6-11 0-1 2-4 8 6 0 0 14 - -
Dillon Brooks * 26 5-7 4-6 0-0 4 2 1 0 14 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 26 3-9 0-4 1-2 5 1 1 0 7 - -
Amen Thompson 21 3-10 1-7 1-2 5 2 0 0 8 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 15 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 5 - -
Jeff Green 13 2-4 0-1 0-1 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Reggie Bullock Jr. 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 3 - -
Cam Whitmore 9 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jock Landale 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 - -
Jermaine Samuels Jr. 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Aaron Holiday 4 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Nate Williams 4 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 27 3-6 0-1 6-7 5 5 1 0 12 - -
Franz Wagner * 27 5-11 3-7 6-6 3 2 1 0 19 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 26 4-10 0-2 0-0 8 1 2 0 8 - -
Markelle Fultz * 24 5-9 0-0 0-0 4 2 3 0 10 - -
Jalen Suggs * 20 3-12 2-7 0-0 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Cole Anthony 24 8-12 1-2 3-3 8 2 0 0 20 - -
Joe Ingles 18 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 5 0 0 0 - -
Gary Harris 16 5-8 1-4 0-0 5 0 0 1 11 - -
Moritz Wagner 15 0-1 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 1 2 - -
Jonathan Isaac 14 4-6 1-3 2-3 4 0 0 1 11 - -
Anthony Black 4 2-2 0-0 1-1 0 1 0 2 5 - -
Caleb Houstan 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Chuma Okeke 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Jett Howard 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Goga Bitadze 4 2-2 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 0 7 - -

* = starter