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2023-10-25

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 66.4% 33.6% -
Bradley-Terry 52.1% 47.9% -
Margin 63.3% 36.7% -3.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% -
Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.0% 32.0% -
Log Adjusted 68.1% 31.9% -
Points Off/Def 59.4% 40.6% -

Actual: New York Knicks -4 (104-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 38 4-11 0-4 3-4 6 5 1 0 11 - -
Jayson Tatum * 38 13-22 3-8 5-6 11 4 2 1 34 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 37 8-15 5-9 9-10 8 0 0 4 30 - -
Jrue Holiday * 34 4-10 1-5 0-0 4 2 0 3 9 - -
Derrick White * 31 4-6 1-3 3-4 6 2 2 1 12 - -
Al Horford 25 3-4 2-3 0-0 7 2 0 0 8 - -
Sam Hauser 13 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 - -
Payton Pritchard 11 1-4 0-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Luke Kornet 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 36 8-20 2-5 6-7 3 2 1 0 24 - -
Julius Randle * 34 5-22 3-8 1-5 11 7 2 0 14 - -
Jalen Brunson * 32 6-21 3-8 0-1 3 6 3 0 15 - -
Quentin Grimes * 23 4-7 3-6 0-1 1 0 0 0 11 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 22 1-4 0-0 0-2 6 1 2 0 2 - -
Immanuel Quickley 28 7-11 5-7 5-6 6 4 1 0 24 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 25 3-4 0-0 1-2 8 2 0 0 7 - -
Josh Hart 22 2-4 2-4 1-2 6 0 0 0 7 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 15 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 - -

* = starter