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2023-10-25

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 36.8% 63.2% -
Bradley-Terry 17.5% 82.5% -
Margin 9.0% 91.0% +12.7 (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 31.1% 68.9% -
Efficiency 12.4% 87.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.0% 85.0% -
Log Adjusted 14.9% 85.1% -
Points Off/Def 20.1% 79.9% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +23 (143-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyus Jones * 28 7-12 2-4 0-1 3 6 1 1 16 - -
Jordan Poole * 26 7-18 0-6 4-5 2 5 1 1 18 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 24 9-18 1-4 6-6 2 0 0 2 25 - -
Daniel Gafford * 21 2-2 0-0 2-4 5 0 0 2 6 - -
Deni Avdija * 20 4-8 0-0 1-2 7 5 1 0 9 - -
Delon Wright 25 3-8 1-1 1-1 6 6 3 0 8 - -
Corey Kispert 24 4-11 1-5 2-2 5 1 0 0 11 - -
Bilal Coulibaly 23 1-3 1-1 0-0 4 3 0 3 3 - -
Danilo Gallinari 17 4-7 2-2 6-6 3 0 0 0 16 - -
Mike Muscala 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Eugene Omoruyi 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Ryan Rollins 6 0-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 - -
Jared Butler 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bruce Brown * 27 8-11 6-8 2-2 3 1 1 0 24 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 26 9-16 2-6 0-0 3 11 1 2 20 - -
Bennedict Mathurin * 25 6-15 2-6 4-4 4 5 2 0 18 - -
Myles Turner * 23 5-8 0-2 1-2 8 1 0 3 11 - -
Obi Toppin * 19 4-9 2-5 1-1 4 1 1 0 11 - -
Buddy Hield 25 5-9 4-7 0-0 2 5 1 1 14 - -
Aaron Nesmith 23 2-5 1-3 2-2 5 1 0 1 7 - -
Andrew Nembhard 21 6-9 0-1 0-0 4 10 0 0 12 - -
Jalen Smith 13 5-6 2-2 1-1 8 0 1 0 13 - -
Isaiah Jackson 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 - -
T.J. McConnell 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 4 - -
Jarace Walker 5 0-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 - -
Jordan Nwora 5 2-7 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 5 - -
Ben Sheppard 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter