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2023-10-25

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 58.0% 42.0% -
Bradley-Terry 62.8% 37.2% -
Margin 58.7% 41.3% -1.9 (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 60.4% 39.6% -
Efficiency 74.5% 25.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.2% 28.8% -
Log Adjusted 71.2% 28.8% -
Points Off/Def 60.2% 39.8% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +6 (116-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 36 4-19 1-9 14-15 1 9 1 0 23 - -
Dejounte Murray * 32 3-14 0-3 5-6 2 6 0 0 11 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 30 4-9 1-4 0-1 4 1 0 0 9 - -
Clint Capela * 28 6-10 0-0 3-4 13 0 1 0 15 - -
Saddiq Bey * 28 6-12 1-4 2-2 5 0 5 0 15 - -
Jalen Johnson 29 9-13 1-3 2-4 7 2 2 1 21 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 24 3-9 1-5 0-0 4 4 3 0 7 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 19 3-5 0-0 1-1 4 2 0 0 7 - -
AJ Griffin 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 34 7-16 2-7 8-12 5 6 0 0 24 - -
Gordon Hayward * 33 4-8 0-1 2-3 8 7 1 1 10 - -
P.J. Washington * 31 12-18 1-6 0-0 5 2 0 0 25 - -
LaMelo Ball * 30 4-15 4-11 3-4 6 10 1 0 15 - -
Mark Williams * 29 5-6 0-0 3-3 15 1 3 1 13 - -
Brandon Miller 24 5-9 3-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 13 - -
JT Thor 20 2-7 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Nick Richards 18 2-2 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 1 7 - -
Theo Maledon 16 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 4 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter