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2023-10-25

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 48.5% 51.5% -
Bradley-Terry 35.6% 64.4% -
Margin 26.1% 73.9% +5.7 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% -
Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Log Adjusted 48.3% 51.7% -
Points Off/Def 44.3% 55.7% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -4 (104-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 36 7-22 1-2 3-5 11 3 0 1 18 - -
Devin Booker * 36 13-21 3-8 3-3 6 8 1 0 32 - -
Josh Okogie * 31 7-9 1-1 2-2 5 1 1 0 17 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 27 5-8 1-2 3-3 14 3 0 1 14 - -
Grayson Allen * 20 0-6 0-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 - -
Eric Gordon 31 4-16 2-9 0-0 4 1 1 1 10 - -
Drew Eubanks 19 1-3 0-0 2-4 7 2 0 3 4 - -
Yuta Watanabe 17 3-5 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 1 8 - -
Jordan Goodwin 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 - -
Nassir Little 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 36 6-18 3-11 0-0 7 3 0 1 15 - -
Chris Paul * 34 4-15 0-6 6-7 6 9 2 0 14 - -
Stephen Curry * 30 8-20 4-14 7-7 5 1 1 0 27 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 27 4-12 0-3 2-3 1 0 0 1 10 - -
Kevon Looney * 27 3-6 0-0 1-1 11 1 0 0 7 - -
Gary Payton II 21 0-5 0-2 1-2 2 2 3 0 1 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 20 4-8 0-0 4-6 6 1 2 1 12 - -
Dario Saric 20 3-11 1-3 0-0 7 1 0 2 7 - -
Moses Moody 17 4-6 2-4 1-2 3 0 3 1 11 - -
Cory Joseph 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter