Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +12 (119-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Angelo Russell * | 36 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 34 | 6-17 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 29 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 29 | 10-16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 22 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura | 14 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Maxwell Lewis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 12-22 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 36 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 34 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 30 | 5-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 24 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Braxton Key | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter