Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.5% | 30.5% | -4.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +1 (124-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 37 | 8-20 | 4-12 | 9-9 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 35 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 35 | 11-18 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 33 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 29 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 17 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 16 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 13 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 40 | 9-20 | 2-8 | 9-17 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 36 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 32 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 25 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 25 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 6-9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Sasha Vezenkov | 15 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter