Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.8% | 31.2% | -4.4 | ✗ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +6 (121-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 40 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 36 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 34 | 10-19 | 0-2 | 11-14 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 33 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 27 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 20 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 15-29 | 3-10 | 8-9 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 35 | 8-22 | 2-7 | 9-9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 27 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 34 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 21 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 15 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter