Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.9% | 29.1% | -4.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +3 (106-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 34 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 33 | 6-20 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 33 | 13-22 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 32 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 23 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 16 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 16 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 11 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Conley * | 37 | 3-14 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 36 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 28 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 25 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 25 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 21 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter