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2023-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 31.2% 68.8% -
Bradley-Terry 24.3% 75.7% -
Margin 14.7% 85.3% +9.7 (13.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 33.3% 66.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% -
Log Adjusted 33.9% 66.1% -
Points Off/Def 34.1% 65.9% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +23 (128-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 32 5-8 2-4 2-2 4 3 2 0 14 15 -
Trae Young * 32 3-14 2-8 5-6 1 10 1 0 13 11 -
Dejounte Murray * 31 5-14 3-7 0-0 3 1 2 1 13 6 -
De'Andre Hunter * 26 5-12 1-6 7-7 4 2 0 0 18 12 -
Clint Capela * 22 6-10 0-0 2-2 9 0 2 2 14 17 -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 30 6-16 4-10 2-2 6 1 2 0 18 11 -
Onyeka Okongwu 21 4-8 1-1 4-5 9 2 0 0 13 16 -
Wesley Matthews 16 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 -
AJ Griffin 15 0-8 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 -7 -
Trent Forrest 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Bruno Fernando 3 1-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Garrison Mathews 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 37 7-15 2-5 3-4 2 8 2 0 19 16 -
Max Strus * 35 4-11 3-7 0-0 3 7 2 2 11 14 -
Donovan Mitchell * 35 14-25 3-11 9-9 11 5 3 1 40 35 -
Evan Mobley * 34 8-11 1-1 0-0 19 1 0 7 17 33 -
Jarrett Allen * 29 5-6 0-0 1-1 8 2 0 0 11 15 -
Caris LeVert 29 4-8 2-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 10 7 -
Georges Niang 18 4-9 2-6 2-2 7 1 0 0 12 11 -
Isaac Okoro 16 3-6 0-1 0-1 2 2 0 2 6 6 -
Craig Porter Jr. 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter