Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +6 (118-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama * | 35 | 8-18 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 34 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 30 | 2-12 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 18 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 27 | 10-19 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 17 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 16 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 34 | 11-20 | 7-14 | 6-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 28 | 3-11 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 24 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody * | 16 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 26 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 20 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 11 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter