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2023-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 37.9% 62.1% -
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% -
Margin 43.8% 56.2% +1.4 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 53.3% 46.7% -
Efficiency 62.4% 37.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.2% 39.8% -
Log Adjusted 60.3% 39.7% -
Points Off/Def 52.7% 47.3% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +13 (121-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 38 16-23 4-8 0-0 4 3 1 0 36 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 38 7-16 0-1 5-9 3 4 1 1 19 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 35 4-8 1-2 0-0 8 5 1 0 9 - -
Coby White * 33 5-9 4-7 0-0 3 3 0 0 14 - -
Alex Caruso * 17 2-3 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Patrick Williams 21 4-8 2-2 2-2 5 1 1 0 12 - -
Torrey Craig 19 1-3 0-1 3-4 5 1 0 1 5 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 12 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Jevon Carter 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Andre Drummond 6 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 - -
Julian Phillips 4 1-2 0-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 37 6-12 1-6 5-6 3 8 1 0 18 - -
OG Anunoby * 33 10-14 5-7 1-2 6 3 1 0 26 - -
Dennis Schroder * 33 6-16 1-9 4-4 0 5 0 0 17 - -
Scottie Barnes * 32 5-11 2-5 1-2 10 6 1 2 13 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 30 7-8 0-0 1-5 10 3 2 1 15 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 20 6-13 4-9 0-0 1 2 1 0 16 - -
Precious Achiuwa 17 3-4 0-0 2-2 7 4 0 3 8 - -
Malachi Flynn 14 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Chris Boucher 10 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Gradey Dick 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter