Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Knicks +2 (100-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 36 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 33 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 23 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 34 | 6-17 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 18 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cole Swider | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle * | 35 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 34 | 10-16 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 34 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Mitchell Robinson * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 25 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley | 25 | 8-17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter