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2023-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 35.7% 64.3% -
Bradley-Terry 39.0% 61.0% -
Margin 35.9% 64.1% +3.2 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 30.4% 69.6% -
Efficiency 12.3% 87.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.3% 84.7% -
Log Adjusted 15.2% 84.8% -
Points Off/Def 21.9% 78.1% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +13 (120-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Toumani Camara * 38 2-4 0-2 3-4 4 0 1 0 7 - -
Jerami Grant * 36 8-19 5-8 5-6 4 6 1 1 26 - -
Shaedon Sharpe * 32 3-13 0-5 4-4 3 0 1 0 10 - -
Deandre Ayton * 30 9-14 0-0 0-0 8 4 1 1 18 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 24 6-14 4-5 3-4 1 5 0 0 19 - -
Matisse Thybulle 22 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 - -
Skylar Mays 21 2-5 2-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 6 - -
Jabari Walker 14 3-6 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 8 - -
Duop Reath 12 4-6 2-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 10 - -
Kris Murray 1 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Moses Brown 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jamaree Bouyea 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Rayan Rupert 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 37 13-21 2-2 3-3 4 9 0 1 31 - -
Eric Gordon * 36 4-5 2-3 0-0 2 4 1 1 10 - -
Grayson Allen * 35 4-5 0-1 0-0 6 5 2 0 8 - -
Devin Booker * 33 9-20 0-3 10-10 3 6 1 1 28 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 29 7-11 2-4 2-2 12 0 1 4 18 - -
Nassir Little 22 4-6 1-3 4-4 5 0 1 1 13 - -
Josh Okogie 13 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 - -
Drew Eubanks 13 1-4 0-0 5-5 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Chimezie Metu 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -
Jordan Goodwin 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter