Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.1% | 51.9% | +0.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -5 (152-157). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 38 | 11-18 | 9-15 | 6-7 | 5 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 30 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 30 | 9-11 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 24 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 33 | 9-16 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 20 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 4 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 38 | 13-17 | 5-8 | 7-8 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 34 | 11-19 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 18 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey | 30 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 26 | 10-15 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 22 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter