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2023-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 42.4% 57.6% -
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% -
Margin 30.5% 69.5% +4.5 (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 35.6% 64.4% -
Efficiency 19.0% 81.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.3% 77.7% -
Log Adjusted 22.3% 77.7% -
Points Off/Def 26.9% 73.1% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +19 (126-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
OG Anunoby * 30 4-8 3-5 0-0 1 4 0 3 11 - -
Pascal Siakam * 30 5-10 0-2 6-8 2 8 1 0 16 - -
Scottie Barnes * 30 5-11 1-4 3-4 8 4 3 0 14 - -
Dennis Schroder * 27 8-13 4-4 4-4 1 1 0 0 24 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 22 5-7 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 1 10 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 20 1-6 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Malachi Flynn 18 2-4 1-2 1-2 3 1 1 1 6 - -
Chris Boucher 17 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 - -
Precious Achiuwa 14 2-4 0-1 1-2 6 4 1 0 5 - -
Gradey Dick 11 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Jalen McDaniels 6 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 4 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Garrett Temple 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 31 8-18 1-4 0-1 4 2 3 0 17 - -
Paolo Banchero * 31 10-20 2-3 3-3 5 3 0 1 25 - -
Goga Bitadze * 30 2-6 0-0 1-4 7 6 2 5 5 - -
Anthony Black * 23 2-7 0-3 1-2 5 1 1 0 5 - -
Jalen Suggs * 20 6-10 2-4 4-4 3 4 2 0 18 - -
Cole Anthony 29 5-10 2-4 3-3 5 10 0 0 15 - -
Gary Harris 22 4-7 2-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 10 - -
Moritz Wagner 15 5-9 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 10 - -
Jonathan Isaac 12 4-6 0-2 1-2 3 0 1 2 9 - -
Joe Ingles 12 2-3 1-2 1-1 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Caleb Houstan 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Chuma Okeke 3 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Admiral Schofield 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter