Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 85.8% | 14.2% | -9.9 | ✗ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +5 (115-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 39 | 7-14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 10-20 | 1-8 | 5-5 | 16 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 34 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 33 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 32 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 29 | 11-19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 8 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 38 | 9-19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 34 | 10-18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels * | 33 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 32 | 10-17 | 1-1 | 5-11 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 18 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Matt Ryan | 18 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter