Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | +5.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -9 (120-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 40 | 14-24 | 5-11 | 10-13 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 43 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 38 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 35 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 25 | 7-11 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Sasha Vezenkov | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 14 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Sochan * | 36 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 35 | 7-16 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 33 | 10-14 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 30 | 12-26 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 25 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 27 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter