Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.1% | 17.9% | -8.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -3 (105-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 37 | 8-22 | 1-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 35 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 34 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 34 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 34 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 22 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Al Horford | 22 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 17 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schroder * | 35 | 9-19 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 33 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 32 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 31 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 29 | 11-16 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 24 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 19 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick | 10 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter