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2023-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 53.6% 46.4% -
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% -
Margin 30.6% 69.4% +4.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 32.0% 68.0% -
Efficiency 14.7% 85.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.5% 82.5% -
Log Adjusted 17.5% 82.5% -
Points Off/Def 23.0% 77.0% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +8 (108-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 34 9-21 2-7 0-0 5 8 0 0 20 - -
Kevin Knox II * 30 5-10 1-4 0-0 10 1 2 1 11 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 30 4-11 1-4 2-2 10 2 1 2 11 - -
Killian Hayes * 22 2-6 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 1 4 - -
Ausar Thompson * 17 4-8 0-1 1-3 10 2 0 0 9 - -
Jaden Ivey 29 4-6 1-2 2-2 2 3 1 0 11 - -
Alec Burks 24 4-14 2-9 0-0 3 1 1 0 10 - -
Stanley Umude 17 2-3 2-3 4-4 6 0 1 1 10 - -
Marcus Sasser 15 2-7 0-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Marvin Bagley III 15 3-5 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 1 8 - -
James Wiseman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Max Strus * 38 7-15 4-8 0-0 7 3 4 1 18 - -
Evan Mobley * 35 8-12 0-0 2-4 10 5 1 0 18 - -
Darius Garland * 33 10-19 2-5 6-8 3 3 0 0 28 - -
Jarrett Allen * 32 4-8 0-0 2-3 7 2 0 5 10 - -
Dean Wade * 21 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Caris LeVert 32 4-14 1-6 1-2 1 1 2 0 10 - -
Georges Niang 26 3-4 1-1 2-2 7 2 1 0 9 - -
Craig Porter 15 5-9 0-0 2-2 3 5 1 0 12 - -
Sam Merrill 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tristan Thompson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Emoni Bates 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Damian Jones 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter