Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.4% | 34.6% | -3.5 | ✓ (27.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -31 (99-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brook Lopez * | 32 | 7-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 30 | 9-18 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 29 | 7-12 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 21 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 30 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 29 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Marques Bolden | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 2 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMelo Ball * | 34 | 12-28 | 2-9 | 11-12 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| Mark Williams * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 28 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brandon Miller * | 27 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 26 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Miles Bridges | 33 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bryce McGowens | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 9 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| JT Thor | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter