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2023-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 34.0% 66.0% -
Bradley-Terry 37.8% 62.2% -
Margin 52.9% 47.1% -0.6 (27.6 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% -
Efficiency 21.9% 78.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.4% 76.6% -
Log Adjusted 23.4% 76.6% -
Points Off/Def 27.7% 72.3% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +27 (134-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 27 5-10 2-6 3-3 1 5 0 0 15 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 23 0-5 0-0 0-0 8 4 0 2 0 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 22 3-16 2-6 0-0 2 2 0 1 8 - -
Jacob Gilyard * 20 3-5 3-5 0-0 3 1 2 0 9 - -
Marcus Smart * 8 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 1 3 - -
David Roddy 31 6-17 2-8 3-4 3 3 2 2 17 - -
Santi Aldama 25 9-15 3-8 3-5 5 4 0 2 24 - -
Ziaire Williams 25 4-16 2-7 0-0 1 0 1 1 10 - -
Xavier Tillman 22 6-7 3-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 15 - -
John Konchar 18 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 6 1 0 6 - -
Kenneth Lofton Jr. 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Luke Kennard 5 0-5 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Vince Williams Jr. 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taurean Prince * 29 3-6 2-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 8 - -
Anthony Davis * 26 7-11 0-0 5-6 11 5 0 6 19 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 26 8-12 6-8 2-3 3 5 0 0 24 - -
Cam Reddish * 24 3-7 3-5 1-2 1 2 0 0 10 - -
LeBron James * 22 6-11 3-6 1-2 9 6 1 0 16 - -
Austin Reaves 29 5-9 4-4 2-3 12 7 0 0 16 - -
Rui Hachimura 23 8-10 3-3 4-4 3 0 0 0 23 - -
Christian Wood 21 1-8 0-3 0-0 10 2 0 1 2 - -
Jaxson Hayes 21 4-4 0-0 3-4 1 1 1 3 11 - -
Max Christie 8 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 5 - -
Maxwell Lewis 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter