Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.9% | 63.1% | +2.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +3 (111-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 40 | 13-26 | 4-11 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 37 | 5-14 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 35 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Ivica Zubac * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 24 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Terance Mann | 28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell | 25 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker | 21 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 39 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 38 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 8-23 | 2-7 | 14-14 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 34 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 29 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter