Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.1% | 27.9% | -5.2 | ✗ (26.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +21 (131-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 26 | 5-16 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 25 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 23 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 27 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 21 | 5-11 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 18 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 13 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 12 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 36 | 11-20 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 30 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels * | 28 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 27 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 32 | 8-17 | 5-12 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 20 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Matt Ryan | 19 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dereon Seabron | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter