Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.5% | 91.5% | +13.1 | ✓ (22.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +36 (123-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Collins * | 31 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 30 | 4-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 28 | 4-15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 27 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 24 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 25 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 14 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chet Holmgren * | 29 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 28 | 10-16 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 28 | 30 | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 24 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 23 | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 23 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 21 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - | |
| Vasilije Micic | 19 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 18 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 14 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 13 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Tre Mann | 8 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter