Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.9% | 78.1% | +7.0 | ✗ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -6 (120-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 37 | 11-21 | 1-4 | 9-9 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson * | 35 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 34 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 33 | 7-17 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey | 27 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 37 | 4-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson * | 34 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 30 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 22 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 19 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 28 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 23 | 4-12 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey | 20 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman | 14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter