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2023-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 77.3% 22.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 80.0% 20.0% - โœ—
Margin 91.1% 8.9% -12.8 โœ— (19.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% - โœ—
Efficiency 65.7% 34.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 63.1% 36.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 63.1% 36.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 54.5% 45.5% - โœ—

Actual: Sacramento Kings +7 (105-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 37 14-25 0-2 5-6 7 6 2 2 33 - -
Jalen Williams * 31 6-14 0-3 2-2 5 1 1 0 14 - -
Chet Holmgren * 29 5-12 0-3 2-3 7 1 1 1 12 - -
Josh Giddey * 26 6-10 0-1 1-1 4 5 0 0 13 - -
Luguentz Dort * 25 2-5 2-3 2-2 6 2 3 1 8 - -
Cason Wallace 23 3-7 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 1 8 - -
Isaiah Joe 20 3-9 3-8 0-0 1 0 1 0 9 - -
Lindy Waters III 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Jaylin Williams 18 0-2 0-2 1-2 4 2 1 0 1 - -
Ousmane Dieng 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keegan Murray * 40 8-17 3-10 5-5 11 1 3 1 24 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 38 7-15 0-0 3-6 13 13 1 2 17 - -
Kevin Huerter * 33 11-19 4-10 2-2 9 2 3 1 28 - -
Keon Ellis * 30 2-8 1-7 3-4 4 2 0 3 8 - -
Harrison Barnes * 26 1-8 0-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Malik Monk 28 5-12 2-5 0-0 2 8 1 0 12 - -
Davion Mitchell 16 1-6 1-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Alex Len 9 1-1 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 2 3 - -
Sasha Vezenkov 8 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 6 - -
Chris Duarte 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Kessler Edwards 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter