Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 91.1% | 8.9% | -12.8 | ✗ (19.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +7 (105-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 37 | 14-25 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 25 | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 31 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 26 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 25 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 23 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 20 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray * | 40 | 8-17 | 3-10 | 5-5 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 23 | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 38 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 31 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 33 | 11-19 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 24 | - | |
| Keon Ellis * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 26 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 28 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 16 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - | |
| Alex Len | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - | |
| Sasha Vezenkov | 8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter