Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.8% | 42.2% | -1.7 | ✗ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +18 (144-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard * | 29 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 29 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Paul George * | 22 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ivica Zubac * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 20 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Terance Mann | 29 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 28 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Moussa Diabate | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Amir Coffey | 12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kobe Brown | 12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 31 | 17-21 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 44 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 28 | 8-19 | 5-9 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 26 | 6-13 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 18 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 12 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter