Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +3 (104-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hawkins * | 41 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels * | 40 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 38 | 11-24 | 3-11 | 6-9 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 33 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 29 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - | - | |
| Matt Ryan | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Dereon Seabron | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 40 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 34 | 7-18 | 2-8 | 9-10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 33 | 11-15 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 23 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 20 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 22 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 19 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter