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2023-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 51.6% 48.4% -
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% -
Margin 67.3% 32.7% -4.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% -
Efficiency 40.3% 59.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Log Adjusted 41.4% 58.6% -
Points Off/Def 40.9% 59.1% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -7 (117-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMelo Ball * 37 9-19 4-8 3-4 6 6 2 0 25 - -
P.J. Washington * 37 5-15 0-6 1-2 10 4 1 0 11 - -
Gordon Hayward * 36 10-20 1-4 6-8 5 9 4 1 27 - -
Brandon Miller * 31 5-16 0-6 2-2 3 2 1 2 12 - -
Mark Williams * 29 10-21 0-0 1-2 24 3 0 0 21 - -
JT Thor 20 3-7 1-2 0-2 5 2 0 0 7 - -
Nick Richards 18 5-5 0-0 5-8 7 0 1 1 15 - -
Theo Maledon 15 2-5 0-1 0-0 5 4 1 0 4 - -
Bryce McGowens 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyus Jones * 33 6-12 2-4 2-3 4 4 0 1 16 - -
Jordan Poole * 31 6-14 1-5 1-1 2 6 0 0 14 - -
Daniel Gafford * 30 4-7 0-0 2-3 9 1 2 4 10 - -
Deni Avdija * 30 5-9 1-4 0-0 6 5 1 1 11 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 29 7-17 2-5 1-1 6 1 0 0 17 - -
Bilal Coulibaly 19 2-4 2-4 4-4 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Danilo Gallinari 17 3-6 1-4 2-2 1 4 0 0 9 - -
Landry Shamet 16 4-10 2-7 1-1 0 0 0 0 11 - -
Corey Kispert 16 5-6 3-3 2-2 4 0 0 0 15 - -
Delon Wright 14 1-3 0-2 2-3 2 6 1 0 4 - -

* = starter