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2023-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 23.5% 76.5% -
Bradley-Terry 23.1% 76.9% -
Margin 15.9% 84.1% +9.2 (17.2 off)
Pythagorean 63.6% 36.4% -
Efficiency 82.5% 17.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.3% 21.7% -
Log Adjusted 78.3% 21.7% -
Points Off/Def 67.8% 32.2% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -8 (106-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 39 9-19 2-7 9-9 6 11 3 1 29 - -
Tobias Harris * 37 8-15 2-3 6-6 5 2 0 1 24 - -
Joel Embiid * 35 8-21 1-4 16-19 16 3 0 2 33 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 29 3-9 2-6 2-4 3 2 3 1 10 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 26 3-9 0-3 2-3 8 1 2 0 8 - -
Nicolas Batum 26 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 - -
Robert Covington 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 4 0 3 - -
Paul Reed 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Patrick Beverley 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Jaden Springer 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Killian Hayes * 38 8-17 2-6 5-7 5 6 2 0 23 - -
Cade Cunningham * 35 8-18 1-5 4-4 4 7 0 0 21 - -
Ausar Thompson * 32 6-11 0-1 0-1 13 4 1 3 12 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 31 4-10 2-5 0-0 6 2 0 1 10 - -
Jalen Duren * 22 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 1 4 - -
Marcus Sasser 34 3-13 1-7 2-2 3 4 0 0 9 - -
Stanley Umude 17 1-2 1-2 7-8 4 1 0 0 10 - -
Marvin Bagley III 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Jared Rhoden 7 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
James Wiseman 6 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter