Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.5% | 76.5% | +6.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +11 (125-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 38 | 11-24 | 6-11 | 6-7 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 34 | 9-15 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 32 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 16 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 27 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 26 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 14 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 39 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 36 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 35 | 8-17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 14-16 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 34 | 10-18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 19 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter